Noia v Celta de Vigo III: the model read
Noia meet Celta de Vigo III in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 group 1 - 34 at Estadio San Lázaro, Noia. The model makes Celta de Vigo III the most likely outcome at 53%, with the full read 19% NOI, 27% draw, 53% CEL.
Celta de Vigo III rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Celta de Vigo III, 57% against 25%. Attacking output favors Celta de Vigo III on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Celta de Vigo III at 73%; double chance reads Noia or draw 47%, Celta de Vigo III or draw 81%.
Noia arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Celta de Vigo III, L 2-5 @ Silva, W 3-0 v Celtiga, W 3-0 @ Cambados.
Celta de Vigo III are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 @ Noia, W 4-1 v Villalbés, W 4-0 @ Barbadás, L 0-2 v Alondras.
Celta de Vigo III hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Noia 1-5 Celta de Vigo III.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
