Juan Aurich v Sport Rosario: the model read
Juan Aurich meet Sport Rosario in the Primera División apertura - 15 at Estadio Elías Aguirre, Chiclayo. The model makes Juan Aurich the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% JUA, 31% draw, 23% SPO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Juan Aurich, 38% against 13%. Attacking output favors Juan Aurich on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Juan Aurich at 66%; double chance reads Juan Aurich or draw 77%, Sport Rosario or draw 54%.
Juan Aurich arrive patchy: 1W-1D-2L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Comerciantes, W 3-0 @ Alfonso Ugarte Puno, D 0-0 v Alianza Universidad, L 1-2 @ Ayacucho FC.
Sport Rosario are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 0-8 v Sporting Cristal, L 1-3 @ Sport Boys, L 2-4 @ Union Comercio, L 0-2 v Deportivo Binacional.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
