Heraclea v Ferrandina: the model read
Heraclea meet Ferrandina in the Serie D - Girone H group h - 34 at Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria, Foggia. The model makes Heraclea the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% HER, 35% draw, 28% FER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 33% against 33%. Attacking output favors Heraclea on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 24%, over 2.5 goals around 16%. Draw no bet leans Heraclea at 56%; double chance reads Heraclea or draw 72%, Ferrandina or draw 64%.
Heraclea arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Nola 1925, W 2-1 v Ferrandina, L 1-2 @ Martina Franca, L 1-3 v Barletta.
Ferrandina are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Heraclea, W 1-0 v Nardò, D 0-0 @ Nola 1925, L 0-5 v Gravina.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Heraclea 2-1 Ferrandina.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output