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Serie D - Girone F · Group F - 26 · Italy

Ancona v Maceratese

4-0Full time· Stadio del Conero, Ancona

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Ancona v Maceratese: the model read

Ancona meet Maceratese in the Serie D - Girone F group f - 26 at Stadio del Conero, Ancona. The model makes Ancona the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% ANC, 31% draw, 26% MAC.

Ancona rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1431. Recent form leans Ancona, 65% against 38%. Attacking output favors Ancona on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Ancona at 63%; double chance reads Ancona or draw 74%, Maceratese or draw 57%.

Ancona arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Notaresco, D 1-1 v Notaresco, D 0-0 @ L'Aquila, W 3-0 v Sammaurese.

Maceratese are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Chieti, D 1-1 v Real Giulianova, L 0-3 @ Unipomezia, W 2-1 v Recanatese.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ancona

WWDDL11-4-5

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • LHNotaresco1-3
  • DHNotaresco1-1
  • DAL'Aquila0-0
  • WHSammaurese3-0
  • WAFossombrone2-1

Maceratese

DWLDL6-3-11

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 40%

  • LAChieti0-1
  • DHReal Giulianova1-1
  • LAUnipomezia0-3
  • WHRecanatese2-1
  • DACastelfidardo Calcio2-2

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.