Ponte Preta v Guarani Campinas: the model read
Ponte Preta meet Guarani Campinas in the Serie C second stage - 6 at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas. The model makes Guarani Campinas the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 19% PON, 29% draw, 52% GUA.
Guarani Campinas rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans Guarani Campinas, 63% against 20%. Attacking output favors Guarani Campinas on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Guarani Campinas at 73%; double chance reads Ponte Preta or draw 48%, Guarani Campinas or draw 81%.
Ponte Preta arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Goias, L 1-2 v Criciuma, L 0-2 @ Fortaleza EC, L 0-2 @ Atletico Goianiense.
Guarani Campinas are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Paysandu, D 0-0 v Floresta, D 1-1 @ Figueirense, L 0-2 @ Confiança.
Ponte Preta hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guarani Campinas 1-0 Ponte Preta.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
