Ponte Preta v Brusque: the model read
Ponte Preta meet Brusque in the Serie C second stage - 2 at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas. The model makes Brusque the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 23% PON, 31% draw, 47% BRU.
Brusque rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Brusque, 55% against 20%. Attacking output favors Brusque on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Brusque at 67%; double chance reads Ponte Preta or draw 53%, Brusque or draw 77%.
Ponte Preta arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Goias, L 1-2 v Criciuma, L 0-2 @ Fortaleza EC, L 0-2 @ Atletico Goianiense.
Brusque are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ AO Itabaiana, W 3-1 v Figueirense, L 0-2 @ Botafogo PB, W 2-1 v Floresta.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Brusque 2-1 Ponte Preta.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
