Chapecoense-sc v Concórdia: the model read
Chapecoense-sc meet Concórdia in the Copa Santa Catarina group stage - 6 at Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina. The model makes Chapecoense-sc the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% CHA, 31% draw, 28% CON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 33%. Attacking output favors Chapecoense-sc on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Chapecoense-sc at 59%; double chance reads Chapecoense-sc or draw 72%, Concórdia or draw 59%.
Chapecoense-sc arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Flamengo, L 0-2 @ Bahia, W 2-1 @ Gremio, W 3-0 v Avai.
Concórdia are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Criciuma, D 2-2 v Criciuma, D 1-1 @ Brusque, D 0-0 v Brusque.
Chapecoense-sc hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Concórdia 1-2 Chapecoense-sc.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
