Figueirense v Marcílio Dias: the model read
Figueirense meet Marcílio Dias in the Copa Santa Catarina group stage - 5 at Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina. The model makes Marcílio Dias the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 27% FIG, 33% draw, 40% MAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Marcílio Dias, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Marcílio Dias on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Marcílio Dias at 60%; double chance reads Figueirense or draw 60%, Marcílio Dias or draw 73%.
Figueirense arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Volta Redonda, L 1-3 @ Brusque, D 1-1 v Guarani Campinas, D 0-0 @ Ituano.
Marcílio Dias are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Portuguesa, D 1-1 v Portuguesa, W 2-1 v Cascavel, D 2-2 @ Cascavel.
Marcílio Dias hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Figueirense 0-1 Marcílio Dias.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
