Chapecoense-sc v Santa Catarina: the model read
Chapecoense-sc meet Santa Catarina in the Copa Santa Catarina group stage - 4 at Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina. The model makes Santa Catarina the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 28% CHA, 31% draw, 41% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Santa Catarina, 53% against 38%. Attacking output favors Santa Catarina on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Santa Catarina at 59%; double chance reads Chapecoense-sc or draw 59%, Santa Catarina or draw 72%.
Chapecoense-sc arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Flamengo, L 0-2 @ Bahia, W 2-1 @ Gremio, W 3-0 v Avai.
Santa Catarina are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Sao Jose, D 1-1 @ Sao Jose, W 1-0 v Cascavel, W 3-1 @ Cianorte.
Santa Catarina hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Chapecoense-sc 0-3 Santa Catarina.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
