Figueirense v Barra: the model read
Figueirense meet Barra in the Copa Santa Catarina group stage - 3 at Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina. The model makes Barra the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 32% FIG, 33% draw, 35% BAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 40%. Attacking output favors Figueirense on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Barra at 52%; double chance reads Figueirense or draw 65%, Barra or draw 68%.
Figueirense arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Volta Redonda, L 1-3 @ Brusque, D 1-1 v Guarani Campinas, D 0-0 @ Ituano.
Barra are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Santa Cruz, W 2-1 @ Confiança, L 1-2 @ Floresta, D 1-1 v Amazonas.
Figueirense hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 3 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Figueirense 0-3 Barra.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
