Figueirense v Avai: the model read
Figueirense meet Avai in the Copa Santa Catarina group stage - 1 at Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina. The model makes Avai the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 32% FIG, 31% draw, 36% AVA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Avai on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Avai at 53%; double chance reads Figueirense or draw 64%, Avai or draw 68%.
Figueirense arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Volta Redonda, L 1-3 @ Brusque, D 1-1 v Guarani Campinas, D 0-0 @ Ituano.
Avai are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v America Mineiro, D 1-1 @ São Bernardo, W 2-0 v Nautico Recife, L 1-3 @ Botafogo SP.
Avai hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Avai 4-2 Figueirense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
