CF Os Belenenses v Amora: the model read
CF Os Belenenses meet Amora in the Taça de Portugal 1/128-finals at Estádio Nacional, Lisbon. The model makes CF Os Belenenses the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% CF , 31% draw, 26% AMO.
CF Os Belenenses rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1420. Recent form leans CF Os Belenenses, 60% against 38%. Attacking output favors CF Os Belenenses on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans CF Os Belenenses at 63%; double chance reads CF Os Belenenses or draw 74%, Amora or draw 57%.
CF Os Belenenses arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Alverca, D 0-0 v Farense, L 0-1 @ Farense, W 3-1 v Mafra.
Amora are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ SC Covilha, L 1-2 v Lusitano Évora 1911, W 1-0 @ 1º Dezembro, L 1-2 v Caldas.
CF Os Belenenses hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CF Os Belenenses 3-1 Amora.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
