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Leagues Cup · Semi-finals · World

Inter Miami v Orlando City SC

3-1Full time· Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida· Referee: Walter Enrique López Ramos

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Inter Miami v Orlando City SC: the model read

Inter Miami meet Orlando City SC in the Leagues Cup semi-finals at Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors Inter Miami on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 93%, over 2.5 goals around 96%. Draw no bet leans Inter Miami at 52%; double chance reads Inter Miami or draw 64%, Orlando City SC or draw 62%.

Inter Miami arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Toronto FC, D 2-2 @ Philadelphia Union, L 1-4 @ Nashville SC, L 2-3 v Leon.

Orlando City SC are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Real Salt Lake, L 1-2 v Chicago Fire, D 1-1 v FC Cincinnati, D 2-2 v Atletico San Luis.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Inter Miami

LLLDL10-5-5

Scored 2.50 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 85%

  • LHToronto FC1-2
  • DAPhiladelphia Union2-2
  • LANashville SC1-4
  • LHLeon2-3
  • LHMonterrey1-2

Orlando City SC

LDDLW10-3-7

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 75%

  • WHReal Salt Lake2-1
  • LHChicago Fire1-2
  • DHFC Cincinnati1-1
  • DHAtletico San Luis2-2
  • LHLeon1-2

Managers

Guillermo Hoyos Angel

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Ó. Pareja

Colombia · 57

In charge since 2019 · 4 clubs managed

  • Tijuana2018–2019
  • Dallas2014–2018
  • Colorado Rapids2012–2014

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.