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Liga Premier Serie A · Apertura - 25 · Mexico

Tigres de Alica v UA Zacatecas

3-2Full time· Estadio Arena Cora, Tepic

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Tigres de Alica v UA Zacatecas: the model read

Tigres de Alica meet UA Zacatecas in the Liga Premier Serie A apertura - 25 at Estadio Arena Cora, Tepic. The model makes Tigres de Alica the most likely outcome at 56%, with the full read 56% TIG, 24% draw, 19% UA .

Tigres de Alica rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1431. Recent form leans Tigres de Alica, 78% against 38%. Attacking output favors Tigres de Alica on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans Tigres de Alica at 75%; double chance reads Tigres de Alica or draw 81%, UA Zacatecas or draw 44%.

Tigres de Alica arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Deportivo Zap, L 0-2 @ Deportivo Zap, W 2-0 @ Los Cabos United, W 3-2 v UA Zacatecas.

UA Zacatecas are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Ensenada, L 2-3 @ Tigres de Alica, L 2-4 @ Acatlan, W 1-0 v Tecos.

Tigres de Alica hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tigres de Alica 3-2 UA Zacatecas.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Tigres de Alica

WWWLW14-3-3

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WHDeportivo Zap2-1
  • LADeportivo Zap0-2
  • WALos Cabos United2-0
  • WHUA Zacatecas3-2
  • WHTritons Vallarta1-0

UA Zacatecas

DWLLW6-3-11

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 45%

  • WHEnsenada4-1
  • LATigres de Alica2-3
  • LAAcatlan2-4
  • WHTecos1-0
  • DHTritons Vallarta1-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

Tigres de AlicarecordUA Zacatecas
3
1
0 draws

Goals

12-6

for each

Avg goals

4.5

per game

BTTS

75%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Tigres de Alica

Recent
WWLW
Wins 3Goals 12-6

Biggest win 4-1

UA Zacatecas

Recent
LLWL
Wins 1Goals 6-12

Biggest win 3-2

  • Tigres de Alica3-2UA Zacatecas
  • UA Zacatecas1-4Tigres de Alica
  • UA Zacatecas3-2Tigres de Alica
  • Tigres de Alica3-0UA Zacatecas

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.