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NPFL · Regular Season - 38 · Nigeria

Bayelsa United v Kwara United

4-0Full time· Samson Siasia Sports Stadium, Yenagoa

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Bayelsa United v Kwara United: the model read

Bayelsa United meet Kwara United in the NPFL regular season - 38 at Samson Siasia Sports Stadium, Yenagoa.

The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Kwara United, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors Bayelsa United on expected goals, 1.0 to 1.0 per match.

Bayelsa United arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Wikki Tourist, W 4-0 v Kwara United, L 1-2 @ Remo Stars, L 0-2 v Enugu Rangers.

Kwara United are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Kano Pillars, L 0-1 v Sokoto, L 0-4 @ Bayelsa United, W 2-0 v Enyimba.

Kwara United hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bayelsa United 4-0 Kwara United.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Bayelsa United

LLLWL5-5-10

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 40%

  • LAWikki Tourist1-3
  • WHKwara United4-0
  • LARemo Stars1-2
  • LHEnugu Rangers0-2
  • LAKatsina United2-3

Kwara United

DWLLD7-6-7

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 40%

  • DHKano Pillars2-2
  • LHSokoto0-1
  • LABayelsa United0-4
  • WHEnyimba2-0
  • DANiger Tornadoes2-2

Head-to-head

6 meetings

Bayelsa UnitedrecordKwara United
2
3
1 draw

Goals

7-6

for each

Avg goals

2.2

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

33%

3+ goals

Bayelsa United

Recent
WLLDLW
Wins 2Goals 7-6

Biggest win 4-0

Kwara United

Recent
LWWDWL
Wins 3Goals 6-7

Biggest win 2-0

  • Bayelsa United4-0Kwara United
  • Kwara United2-0Bayelsa United
  • Kwara United1-0Bayelsa United
  • Bayelsa United1-1Kwara United
  • Kwara United1-0Bayelsa United
  • Bayelsa United2-1Kwara United

Managers

M. Okara

Head coach

In charge since 2021

A. Biffo

Nigeria

  • Kwara United2020–2022

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.