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World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF · Final Round - 5 · World

Suriname v El Salvador

4-0Full time· Franklin Essed Stadion, Paramaribo· Referee: Oshane Nation, Jamaica

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Suriname v El Salvador: the model read

Suriname meet El Salvador in the World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF final round - 5 at Franklin Essed Stadion, Paramaribo.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Suriname, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Suriname on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.

Suriname arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Bolivia, L 1-3 @ Guatemala, W 4-0 v El Salvador, D 1-1 @ Panama.

El Salvador are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Club Tijuana, L 0-3 @ Los Angeles FC, W 3-0 @ Los Angeles Galaxy, D 0-0 @ Qatar.

Suriname hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Suriname 4-0 El Salvador.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Suriname

DDWLL7-6-7

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • LABolivia1-2
  • LAGuatemala1-3
  • WHEl Salvador4-0
  • DAPanama1-1
  • DHGuatemala1-1

El Salvador

LDWLD5-6-9

Scored 0.80 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 25%

  • DAClub Tijuana2-2
  • LALos Angeles FC0-3
  • WALos Angeles Galaxy3-0
  • DAQatar0-0
  • LASouth Korea0-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

SurinamerecordEl Salvador
2
0
1 draw

Goals

7-2

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Suriname

Recent
WWD
Wins 2Goals 7-2

Biggest win 4-0

El Salvador

Recent
LLD
Wins 0Goals 2-7
  • Suriname4-0El Salvador
  • El Salvador1-2Suriname
  • El Salvador1-1Suriname

Managers

H. ten Cate

Netherlands · 71

In charge since 2024 · 16 teams managed

  • Al Wahda2021–2021
  • Al Ittihad2019–2020
  • Al Wahda2018–2019
  • Al Jazira2015–2018

H. Gómez

Colombia · 69

In charge since 2025 · 9 teams managed

  • Águilas Doradas2024–2024
  • Junior2023–2023
  • Honduras2021–2022
  • Independiente Medellín2020–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.