Cimarrones v Colima: the model read
Cimarrones meet Colima in the Liga Premier Serie A apertura - 23 at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari, Hermosillo. The model makes Cimarrones the most likely outcome at 57%, with the full read 57% CIM, 25% draw, 18% COL.
Cimarrones rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Cimarrones, 65% against 23%. Attacking output favors Cimarrones on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Cimarrones at 76%; double chance reads Cimarrones or draw 82%, Colima or draw 43%.
Cimarrones arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Celaya, L 1-2 @ Celaya, D 1-1 v Mineros de Fresnillo, D 1-1 @ Mineros de Fresnillo.
Colima are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Tecos, W 3-1 @ Acatlan, L 0-2 @ Guerreros, D 0-0 v Mineros de Fresnillo.
Cimarrones hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cimarrones 2-0 Colima.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
