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Liga Premier Serie A · Apertura - 20 · Mexico

Tecos v Guerreros

1-1Full time· Estadio Tres de Marzo, Zapopan

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Tecos v Guerreros: the model read

Tecos meet Guerreros in the Liga Premier Serie A apertura - 20 at Estadio Tres de Marzo, Zapopan. The model makes Tecos the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% TEC, 29% draw, 32% GUE.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Tecos on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Tecos at 55%; double chance reads Tecos or draw 68%, Guerreros or draw 61%.

Tecos arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Inter Playa del Carmen, L 0-2 @ Inter Playa del Carmen, W 4-1 @ Colima, L 0-2 v Leones Negros.

Guerreros are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Reboceros La Piedad, L 0-1 v Tritons Vallarta, W 2-0 v Colima, L 1-2 @ Leones Negros.

Tecos hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tecos 1-1 Guerreros.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Tecos

DLWLD8-4-8

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 60%

  • DHInter Playa del Carmen0-0
  • LAInter Playa del Carmen0-2
  • WAColima4-1
  • LHLeones Negros0-2
  • DALos Cabos United0-0

Guerreros

DLWLL6-6-8

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 70%

  • LAReboceros La Piedad0-3
  • LHTritons Vallarta0-1
  • WHColima2-0
  • LALeones Negros1-2
  • DHLos Cabos United1-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

TecosrecordGuerreros
1
0
1 draw

Goals

3-2

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Tecos

Recent
DW
Wins 1Goals 3-2

Biggest win 2-1

Guerreros

Recent
DL
Wins 0Goals 2-3
  • Tecos1-1Guerreros
  • Guerreros1-2Tecos

Managers

J. Salgado

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Away coach unavailable.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.