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Copa Paulista · Round of 16 · Brazil

Inter De Limeira v Comercial

1-0Full time· Estádio Major José Levy Sobrinho, Limeira· Referee: Daiane Caroline Muniz dos Santos

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Inter De Limeira v Comercial: the model read

Inter De Limeira meet Comercial in the Copa Paulista round of 16 at Estádio Major José Levy Sobrinho, Limeira. The model makes Comercial the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 32% INT, 34% draw, 34% COM.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 53%. Attacking output favors Inter De Limeira on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Comercial at 52%; double chance reads Inter De Limeira or draw 66%, Comercial or draw 68%.

Inter De Limeira arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Amazonas, W 1-0 @ Maranhão, D 2-2 v Maringá, L 0-2 @ Ferroviária.

Comercial are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Noroeste, W 2-1 v Tanabi, L 1-2 @ Jabaquara, W 1-0 v Inter de Bebedouro.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Comercial 1-0 Inter De Limeira.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Inter De Limeira

WLDWW9-5-6

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • WHAmazonas1-0
  • WAMaranhão1-0
  • DHMaringá2-2
  • LAFerroviária0-2
  • WAPaysandu2-1

Comercial

WWLWW9-3-8

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WHNoroeste2-0
  • WHTanabi2-1
  • LAJabaquara1-2
  • WHInter de Bebedouro1-0
  • WAJoseense2-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

Inter De LimeirarecordComercial
1
1
2 draws

Goals

5-5

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Inter De Limeira

Recent
LWDD
Wins 1Goals 5-5

Biggest win 1-0

Comercial

Recent
WLDD
Wins 1Goals 5-5

Biggest win 1-0

  • Comercial1-0Inter De Limeira
  • Inter De Limeira1-0Comercial
  • Comercial2-2Inter De Limeira
  • Inter De Limeira2-2Comercial

Managers

Ademir Fesan

Brazil · 48

In charge since 2025 · 11 clubs managed

  • Santa Catarina2024–2025
  • São Bento2024–2024
  • Comercial2024–2024
  • Grêmio Prudente2023–2024

João Vallim

Brazil · 69

  • Comercial2025–2025
  • Portuguesa Santista2024–2025
  • EC Lemense2024–2024
  • Rio Claro2022–2023

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.