Sao Bento v São José EC: the model read
Sao Bento meet São José EC in the Copa Paulista round of 16 at Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro, Sorocaba. The model makes São José EC the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 24% SAO, 29% draw, 47% SÃO.
São José EC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans São José EC, 63% against 25%. Attacking output favors São José EC on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans São José EC at 67%; double chance reads Sao Bento or draw 53%, São José EC or draw 76%.
Sao Bento arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Santo André, L 2-3 v Taubaté, W 1-0 v Linense, D 0-0 @ Juventus.
São José EC are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ São Caetano, W 5-0 v Sertãozinho, L 0-1 @ Juventus, L 1-4 @ Ferroviária.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sao Bento 0-1 São José EC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
