Perugia v Pineto: the model read
Perugia meet Pineto in the Serie C - Girone B girone b - 29 at Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia. The model makes Perugia the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% PER, 32% draw, 28% PIN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Perugia on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Perugia at 59%; double chance reads Perugia or draw 72%, Pineto or draw 60%.
Perugia arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Forli, L 0-1 v Campobasso FC, D 2-2 @ Ternana, D 2-2 v Juventus U23.
Pineto are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Scafatese, D 1-1 @ Campobasso FC, W 2-1 v Gubbio, L 0-2 @ Gubbio.
Pineto hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Perugia 0-1 Pineto.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output