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Serie C - Girone A · Girone A - 33 · Italy

Pro Patria v Lecco

1-4Full time· Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Pro Patria v Lecco: the model read

Pro Patria meet Lecco in the Serie C - Girone A girone a - 33 at Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Pro Patria on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.

Pro Patria arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 13 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Arconatese, W 2-0 v Crema, W 3-2 @ Pontedera, W 2-1 v Oltrepò.

Lecco are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Pergolettese, W 3-1 @ Desenzano Calvina, W 1-0 v Giana Erminio, L 0-1 @ Trento.

Lecco hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pro Patria 1-4 Lecco.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Pro Patria

WWWWW8-5-7

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • WAArconatese3-0
  • WHCrema2-0
  • WAPontedera3-2
  • WHOltrepò2-1
  • WHGozzano3-1

Lecco

LLWWD6-8-6

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • DHPergolettese0-0
  • WADesenzano Calvina3-1
  • WHGiana Erminio1-0
  • LATrento0-1
  • LATreviso0-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Pro PatriarecordLecco
4
5
1 draw

Goals

11-14

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Pro Patria

Recent
LLLWLW
Wins 4Goals 11-14

Biggest win 2-0

Lecco

Recent
WWWLWL
Wins 5Goals 14-11

Biggest win 4-1

  • Pro Patria1-4Lecco
  • Lecco1-0Pro Patria
  • Lecco2-1Pro Patria
  • Pro Patria2-1Lecco
  • Lecco2-1Pro Patria
  • Pro Patria2-0Lecco
  • Lecco0-2Pro Patria
  • Pro Patria1-1Lecco
  • Lecco3-0Pro Patria
  • Lecco0-1Pro Patria

Managers

M. Caniato

Italy · 58

In charge since 2025

F. Valente

Italy · 50

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Südtirol2023–2024
  • Südtirol U192023–2023
  • Freiburg U192021–2023
  • Freiburg U172019–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.