TEC v Hercules: the model read
TEC meet Hercules in the Derde Divisie - Saturday group a - 34 at Sportpark De Lok, Tiel. The model makes Hercules the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 31% TEC, 28% draw, 40% HER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Hercules, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Hercules on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Hercules at 56%; double chance reads TEC or draw 60%, Hercules or draw 69%.
TEC arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v NEO, L 0-1 @ NEO, W 2-0 v Heino, D 0-0 @ Heino.
Hercules are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ TEC, W 4-0 v Harkemase Boys, W 2-0 @ Sportlust '46, L 1-2 @ ROHDA Raalte.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: TEC 0-0 Hercules.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
