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Derde Divisie · Group A - 32 · Netherlands

TEC v Excelsior '31

1-1Full time· Sportpark De Lok, Tiel

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Match analysisPre-match brief

TEC v Excelsior '31: the model read

TEC meet Excelsior '31 in the Derde Divisie group a - 32 at Sportpark De Lok, Tiel.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Excelsior '31 on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Excelsior '31 at 55%; double chance reads TEC or draw 61%, Excelsior '31 or draw 68%.

TEC arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Sparta Nijkerk, L 0-1 @ ACV, W 3-0 v NEO, L 0-1 @ NEO.

Excelsior '31 are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Staphorst, W 4-0 v Eemdijk, W 2-1 @ URK, W 3-1 v Staphorst.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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TEC

WLWLW7-4-9

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WHSparta Nijkerk3-1
  • LAACV0-1
  • WHNEO3-0
  • LANEO0-1
  • WHHeino2-0

Excelsior '31

DWWWW8-4-8

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • WAStaphorst4-2
  • WHEemdijk4-0
  • WAURK2-1
  • WHStaphorst3-1
  • DATEC1-1

Managers

H. van de Haar

Netherlands · 50

In charge since 2020 · 3 clubs managed

  • FC Lienden2018–2019
  • Spakenburg2016–2016

M. Steggink

Head coach

In charge since 2024

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.