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National 2 - Group A · Group A - 30 · France

Bayonne v Saumur

3-2Full time· Stade Didier Deschamps, Bayonne

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Bayonne v Saumur: the model read

Bayonne meet Saumur in the National 2 - Group A group a - 30 at Stade Didier Deschamps, Bayonne. The model makes Bayonne the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% BAY, 28% draw, 25% SAU.

Bayonne rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1577 to 1400. Recent form leans Bayonne, 58% against 38%. Attacking output favors Saumur on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Bayonne at 65%; double chance reads Bayonne or draw 75%, Saumur or draw 54%.

Bayonne arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Saumur, L 1-2 @ Châteaubriant, L 1-2 v Bordeaux, W 2-0 @ Avranches.

Saumur are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Bayonne, D 0-0 v Montlouis, L 0-6 @ Dinan Léhon, D 2-2 v Lorient II.

Bayonne hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bayonne 3-2 Saumur.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Bayonne

WWLLW10-2-7

Scored 1.37 · Conceded 0.89 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 36.8%

  • WHSaumur3-2
  • LAChâteaubriant1-2
  • LHBordeaux1-2
  • WAAvranches2-0
  • WHLes Herbiers2-1

Saumur

DDLDL3-9-8

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 2.10 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • LABayonne2-3
  • DHMontlouis0-0
  • LADinan Léhon0-6
  • DHLorient II2-2
  • DASaint-Colomban Locminé0-0

Head-to-head

2 meetings

BayonnerecordSaumur
2
0
0 draws

Goals

4-2

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Bayonne

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 4-2

Biggest win 3-2

Saumur

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 2-4
  • Bayonne3-2Saumur
  • Saumur0-1Bayonne

Managers

A. Pochat

France · 58

In charge since 2024 · 6 clubs managed

  • Villefranche2024–2024
  • Bourg-Péronnas2021–2023
  • Villefranche2017–2021
  • Boulogne2016–2017

P. Olive

France · 48

In charge since 2024

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.