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National 2 - Group C · Group C - 19 · France

Fréjus St-Raphaël v Rousset-Ste Victoire

3-1Full time· Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Fréjus St-Raphaël v Rousset-Ste Victoire: the model read

Fréjus St-Raphaël meet Rousset-Ste Victoire in the National 2 - Group C group c - 19 at Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël. The model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% FRÉ, 29% draw, 28% ROU.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fréjus St-Raphaël, 40% against 13%. Attacking output favors Fréjus St-Raphaël on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Fréjus St-Raphaël at 60%; double chance reads Fréjus St-Raphaël or draw 72%, Rousset-Ste Victoire or draw 58%.

Fréjus St-Raphaël arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Grasse, L 0-1 @ Bobigny, L 0-1 v Toulon, D 0-0 v Saint-Priest.

Rousset-Ste Victoire are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 3-6 @ Andrézieux, L 1-3 v Cannes, L 0-1 @ Hyères, L 0-3 v St Maur Lusitanos.

Fréjus St-Raphaël hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fréjus St-Raphaël 3-1 Rousset-Ste Victoire.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Fréjus St-Raphaël

WDLLW5-6-9

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 50%

  • WHGrasse1-0
  • LABobigny0-1
  • LHToulon0-1
  • DHSaint-Priest0-0
  • WARumilly Vallières3-1

Rousset-Ste Victoire

LLLLL1-3-16

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 2.75 · Clean sheets 0% · BTTS 65%

  • LAAndrézieux3-6
  • LHCannes1-3
  • LAHyères0-1
  • LHSt Maur Lusitanos0-3
  • LASaint-Priest0-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Fréjus St-RaphaëlrecordRousset-Ste Victoire
1
0
1 draw

Goals

5-3

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Fréjus St-Raphaël

Recent
WD
Wins 1Goals 5-3

Biggest win 3-1

Rousset-Ste Victoire

Recent
LD
Wins 0Goals 3-5
  • Fréjus St-Raphaël3-1Rousset-Ste Victoire
  • Rousset-Ste Victoire2-2Fréjus St-Raphaël

Managers

M. Estevan

France · 64

In charge since 2024 · 7 clubs managed

  • Tours2019–2019
  • Montélimar2018–2018
  • Châteauroux2016–2017
  • Fréjus St-Raphaël2012–2015

C. Delachet

France · 76

In charge since 2022 · 2 clubs managed

  • Marignane Gignac2021–2022

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.