CF Os Belenenses v Atlético CP: the model read
CF Os Belenenses meet Atlético CP in the Liga 3 regular season - 2 at Estádio Nacional, Lisbon. The model makes CF Os Belenenses the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% CF , 32% draw, 31% ATL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans CF Os Belenenses, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors CF Os Belenenses on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans CF Os Belenenses at 55%; double chance reads CF Os Belenenses or draw 69%, Atlético CP or draw 63%.
CF Os Belenenses arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Alverca, D 0-0 v Farense, L 0-1 @ Farense, W 3-1 v Mafra.
Atlético CP are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Estoril, W 1-0 @ Lusitano Évora 1911, L 0-1 v 1º Dezembro, W 2-0 v Caldas.
CF Os Belenenses hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Atlético CP 1-2 CF Os Belenenses.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
