Orleans v Villefranche: the model read
Orleans meet Villefranche in the National 1 regular season - 27 at Stade de la Source, Orléans. The model makes Orleans the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% ORL, 31% draw, 29% VIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1547 to 1471, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Orleans, 58% against 44%. Attacking output favors Orleans on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Orleans at 58%; double chance reads Orleans or draw 71%, Villefranche or draw 60%.
Orleans arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ RED Star FC 93, W 1-0 v Gobelins, L 0-1 @ Clermont Foot, L 2-3 @ Dijon.
Villefranche are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Grenoble, D 2-2 @ Concarneau, L 0-1 @ Bourg-en-bresse 01, L 0-3 @ Caen.
Villefranche hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Orleans 0-0 Villefranche.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
