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USL League One Cup · Quarter-finals · USA

Rhode Island v Birmingham Legion

1-0Full time· Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, Rhode Island· Referee: Brad Jensen

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Rhode Island v Birmingham Legion: the model read

Rhode Island meet Birmingham Legion in the USL League One Cup quarter-finals at Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, Rhode Island.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Rhode Island, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Rhode Island on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Rhode Island at 58%; double chance reads Rhode Island or draw 71%, Birmingham Legion or draw 60%.

Rhode Island arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Monterey Bay, L 0-2 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies, W 2-0 v Colorado Springs, L 0-1 @ Birmingham Legion.

Birmingham Legion are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Sporting JAX, L 2-3 @ Colorado Springs, W 1-0 v Rhode Island, L 1-2 @ Louisville City.

Rhode Island hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Birmingham Legion 1-0 Rhode Island.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Rhode Island

WLWLW9-5-6

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • WHMonterey Bay3-1
  • LATampa Bay Rowdies0-2
  • WHColorado Springs2-0
  • LABirmingham Legion0-1
  • WAPittsburgh Riverhounds1-0

Birmingham Legion

WLWLL5-9-6

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 70%

  • LHSporting JAX2-3
  • LAColorado Springs2-3
  • WHRhode Island1-0
  • LALouisville City1-2
  • WHFC Tulsa3-1

Head-to-head

7 meetings

Rhode IslandrecordBirmingham Legion
4
2
1 draw

Goals

9-6

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

43%

both scored

Over 2.5

29%

3+ goals

Rhode Island

Recent
LLWDWW
Wins 4Goals 9-6

Biggest win 2-0

Birmingham Legion

Recent
WWLDLL
Wins 2Goals 6-9

Biggest win 3-1

  • Birmingham Legion1-0Rhode Island
  • Rhode Island1-3Birmingham Legion
  • Rhode Island1-0Birmingham Legion
  • Rhode Island1-1Birmingham Legion
  • Birmingham Legion0-1Rhode Island
  • Rhode Island2-0Birmingham Legion
  • Birmingham Legion1-3Rhode Island

Managers

Khano Smith

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Away coach unavailable.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.