Modena v Mantova: the model read
Modena meet Mantova in the Serie B regular season - 32 at Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena. The model makes Modena the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% MOD, 31% draw, 32% MAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 55%. Attacking output favors Mantova on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Modena at 53%; double chance reads Modena or draw 68%, Mantova or draw 63%.
Modena arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Virtus Bolzano, L 0-1 v Juve Stabia, L 0-1 @ Avellino, W 2-1 v Reggiana.
Mantova are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Frosinone, W 3-2 v Monza, W 3-0 @ Sudtirol, L 0-2 v Avellino.
Modena hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Modena 2-1 Mantova.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
