Palermo v Mantova: the model read
Palermo meet Mantova in the Serie B regular season - 28 at Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo. The model makes Palermo the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% PAL, 29% draw, 32% MAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors Mantova on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Palermo at 55%; double chance reads Palermo or draw 68%, Mantova or draw 61%.
Palermo arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Iraklis 1908, D 2-2 v 1. FC Nürnberg, W 7-0 v Paradiso, L 0-1 @ FC Ingolstadt 04.
Mantova are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 13 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 v Ambrosiana, L 0-5 @ Frosinone, W 3-2 v Monza, W 3-0 @ Sudtirol.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output