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African Nations Championship · Group Stage - 3 · World

Nigeria v Congo

2-0Full time· Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam· Referee: Mustapha Kechaf

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Nigeria v Congo: the model read

Nigeria meet Congo in the African Nations Championship group stage - 3 at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam.

Nigeria rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1400. Recent form leans Nigeria, 74% against 32%. Attacking output favors Nigeria on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.7 per match.

Nigeria arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Portugal, D 2-2 @ Poland, W 3-0 @ Jamaica, W 2-0 v Zimbabwe.

Congo are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Morocco, L 1-3 @ Niger, D 1-1 v Tanzania, L 0-2 @ Nigeria.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Nigeria

DWWDL11-6-2

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 0.89 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 63.2%

  • LAPortugal1-2
  • DAPoland2-2
  • WAJamaica3-0
  • WHZimbabwe2-0
  • DAJordan2-2

Congo

DLDLL2-5-7

Scored 0.71 · Conceded 1.57 · Clean sheets 14.3% · BTTS 50%

  • LAMorocco0-1
  • LANiger1-3
  • DHTanzania1-1
  • LANigeria0-2
  • DASenegal1-1

Managers

É. Chelle

Mali · 48

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • MC Oran2024–2025
  • Nigeria2023–2023
  • Mali2022–2024
  • Boulogne2021–2021

I. N'Gata

France · 60

In charge since 2024 · 4 teams managed

  • Motema Pembe2019–2022
  • Evry2013–2014
  • Viry Châtillon2010–2012

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.