Tepatitlán v CDS Tampico Madero: the model read
Tepatitlán meet CDS Tampico Madero in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 2 at Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos. The model makes Tepatitlán the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% TEP, 34% draw, 31% CDS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Tepatitlán on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 23%. Draw no bet leans Tepatitlán at 52%; double chance reads Tepatitlán or draw 69%, CDS Tampico Madero or draw 65%.
Tepatitlán arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Durango, L 0-2 @ CDS Tampico Madero, W 3-1 v CDS Tampico Madero, W 1-0 v CDS Tampico Madero.
CDS Tampico Madero are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Club America, W 2-0 v Tepatitlán, L 1-3 @ Tepatitlán, L 0-1 @ Tepatitlán.
CDS Tampico Madero hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CDS Tampico Madero 2-0 Tepatitlán.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
