Inter Santa Maria v Bagé: the model read
Inter Santa Maria meet Bagé in the Gaúcho - 2 quarter-finals. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% INT, 41% draw, 29% BAG.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 48%. Attacking output favors Inter Santa Maria on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 9%, over 2.5 goals around 4%. Draw no bet leans Inter Santa Maria at 50%; double chance reads Inter Santa Maria or draw 71%, Bagé or draw 70%.
Inter Santa Maria arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Avenida, D 1-1 v Monsoon, L 0-1 v Guarany de Bagé, L 2-3 @ Guarany de Bagé.
Bagé are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Gramadense, L 0-1 v Gramadense, W 2-1 @ Farroupilha, L 1-2 v Guarany de Bagé.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output