Naval 1893 v Mortágua: the model read
Naval 1893 meet Mortágua in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C group c - 23 at Estádio Municipal José Bento Pessoa, Figueira da Foz. The model makes Naval 1893 the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% NAV, 34% draw, 29% MOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors Naval 1893 on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans Naval 1893 at 56%; double chance reads Naval 1893 or draw 71%, Mortágua or draw 64%.
Naval 1893 arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Estrela, W 2-0 v Vitória de Sernache, D 0-0 @ Os Marialvas, W 2-1 v Lajense.
Mortágua are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Eléctrico, L 0-1 @ Vitória de Sernache, L 0-2 v Os Marialvas, W 1-0 v Marinhense.
Naval 1893 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Naval 1893 2-0 Mortágua.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
