Naval 1893 v Samora Correir: the model read
Naval 1893 meet Samora Correir in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C group c - 21 at Estádio Municipal José Bento Pessoa, Figueira da Foz. The model makes Naval 1893 the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% NAV, 33% draw, 30% SAM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Naval 1893, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Samora Correir on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Naval 1893 at 55%; double chance reads Naval 1893 or draw 70%, Samora Correir or draw 63%.
Naval 1893 arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Estrela, W 2-0 v Vitória de Sernache, D 0-0 @ Os Marialvas, W 2-1 v Lajense.
Samora Correir are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v UD da Serra, W 2-1 @ Benfica Castelo Branco, W 2-1 v Eléctrico, W 5-2 v Peniche.
Naval 1893 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Naval 1893 2-1 Samora Correir.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
