Chaves II v Mirandela: the model read
Chaves II meet Mirandela in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A group a - 22 at Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, Chaves. The model makes Chaves II the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% CHA, 34% draw, 29% MIR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Chaves II on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 23%. Draw no bet leans Chaves II at 56%; double chance reads Chaves II or draw 71%, Mirandela or draw 63%.
Chaves II arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Chaves, D 1-1 @ Tirsense, D 1-1 v Bragança, W 3-0 v Os Limianos.
Mirandela are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Brito, W 2-0 v AR São Martinho, L 0-1 @ Vianense, L 0-1 v Tirsense.
Mirandela hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chaves II 1-2 Mirandela.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
