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UEFA Championship - Women · Semi-finals · World

Germany W v Spain W

0-1Full time· Stadion Letzigrund, Zürich· Referee: Edina Alves Batista

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Germany W v Spain W: the model read

Germany W meet Spain W in the UEFA Championship - Women semi-finals at Stadion Letzigrund, Zürich. The model makes Spain W the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 28% GER, 29% draw, 43% SPA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1799, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Spain W, 90% against 75%. Attacking output favors Spain W on expected goals, 3.2 to 2.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Spain W at 60%; double chance reads Germany W or draw 57%, Spain W or draw 72%.

Germany W arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Slovenia W, W 2-0 v Norway W, D 0-0 @ Austria W, W 5-1 v Austria W.

Spain W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 18 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 @ Iceland W, W 4-0 v England W, W 5-0 v Ukraine W, L 0-1 @ England W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Germany W

WWDWW13-4-3

Scored 2.55 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 35%

  • WASlovenia W2-0
  • WHNorway W2-0
  • DAAustria W0-0
  • WHAustria W5-1
  • WANorway W4-0

Spain W

WLWWW17-2-1

Scored 3.20 · Conceded 0.55 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • WAIceland W6-1
  • WHEngland W4-0
  • WHUkraine W5-0
  • LAEngland W0-1
  • WAUkraine W3-1

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

Montse Tomé

Spain · 43

In charge since 2023 · 2 clubs managed

  • Spain U172020–2022

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.