Chaves v Leixoes: the model read
Chaves meet Leixoes in the Segunda Liga regular season - 33 at Estadio Municipal de Chaves, Chaves. The model makes Leixoes the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 31% CHA, 30% draw, 40% LEI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Leixoes, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors Leixoes on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Leixoes at 56%; double chance reads Chaves or draw 60%, Leixoes or draw 69%.
Chaves arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Amarante, L 0-1 @ Vizela, W 4-1 v Fafe, W 1-0 @ AVS.
Leixoes are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 14 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Nacional, W 5-1 @ Maritimo, W 2-1 v Lusitânia Lourosa, W 2-1 @ Chaves.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chaves 1-2 Leixoes.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
