Chaves v Torreense: the model read
Chaves meet Torreense in the Segunda Liga regular season - 29 at Estadio Municipal de Chaves, Chaves. The model makes Torreense the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 26% CHA, 31% draw, 42% TOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Torreense, 71% against 50%. Attacking output favors Torreense on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Torreense at 62%; double chance reads Chaves or draw 58%, Torreense or draw 74%.
Chaves arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Amarante, L 0-1 @ Vizela, W 4-1 v Fafe, W 1-0 @ AVS.
Torreense are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Benfica B, W 5-0 v Academica, L 0-2 @ Casa Pia, W 2-1 @ Sporting CP.
Chaves hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chaves 2-0 Torreense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
