Chaves v União de Leiria: the model read
Chaves meet União de Leiria in the Segunda Liga regular season - 27 at Estadio Municipal de Chaves, Chaves. The model makes União de Leiria the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% CHA, 30% draw, 37% UNI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors União de Leiria on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans União de Leiria at 53%; double chance reads Chaves or draw 63%, União de Leiria or draw 67%.
Chaves arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Amarante, L 0-1 @ Vizela, W 4-1 v Fafe, W 1-0 @ AVS.
União de Leiria are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v AD Marco 09, L 0-1 v Alverca, D 2-2 v Feirense, L 0-1 @ Vizela.
União de Leiria hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chaves 0-2 União de Leiria.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
