Sporting CP v Guimaraes: the model read
Sporting CP meet Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga regular season - 32 at Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon. The model makes Sporting CP the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% SPO, 27% draw, 25% GUI.
Sporting CP rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1501. Recent form leans Sporting CP, 68% against 47%. Attacking output favors Sporting CP on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Sporting CP at 66%; double chance reads Sporting CP or draw 75%, Guimaraes or draw 52%.
Sporting CP arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 19 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 v Strasbourg, W 4-1 v Celtic, L 1-2 v Torreense, W 3-0 v GIL Vicente.
Guimaraes are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Academica, W 5-0 v Penafiel, W 3-1 v Felgueiras 1932, L 0-2 @ Nacional.
Sporting CP hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sporting CP 5-1 Guimaraes.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
