FC Ingolstadt 04 v Erzgebirge Aue: the model read
FC Ingolstadt 04 meet Erzgebirge Aue in the 3. Liga regular season - 36 at Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt. The model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% FC , 28% draw, 35% ERZ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 42%. Attacking output favors Erzgebirge Aue on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 79%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans FC Ingolstadt 04 at 52%; double chance reads FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw 65%, Erzgebirge Aue or draw 63%.
FC Ingolstadt 04 arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Palermo, W 2-0 v Lask Linz, W 2-0 v Eichstätt, W 5-1 v Waldhof Mannheim.
Erzgebirge Aue are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 v Kladno, W 7-1 v VfL Halle, W 3-0 @ ZFC Meuselwitz.
Erzgebirge Aue hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Ingolstadt 04 3-5 Erzgebirge Aue.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
