Erzgebirge Aue v Hoffenheim II: the model read
Erzgebirge Aue meet Hoffenheim II in the 3. Liga regular season - 31 at Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue. The model makes Erzgebirge Aue the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% ERZ, 27% draw, 31% HOF.
The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Erzgebirge Aue, 42% against 33%. Attacking output favors Erzgebirge Aue on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 85%, over 2.5 goals around 90%. Draw no bet leans Erzgebirge Aue at 58%; double chance reads Erzgebirge Aue or draw 69%, Hoffenheim II or draw 58%.
Erzgebirge Aue arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 v Kladno, W 7-1 v VfL Halle, W 3-0 @ ZFC Meuselwitz.
Hoffenheim II are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, W 6-1 @ SGV Freiberg, W 2-0 v VfR Mannheim, L 0-2 @ SV Wehen.
Hoffenheim II hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Erzgebirge Aue 3-5 Hoffenheim II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
