Waldhof Mannheim v Erzgebirge Aue: the model read
Waldhof Mannheim meet Erzgebirge Aue in the 3. Liga regular season - 30 at Carl-Benz Stadion, Mannheim. The model makes Erzgebirge Aue the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 32% WAL, 27% draw, 41% ERZ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 42%. Attacking output favors Erzgebirge Aue on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 82%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Erzgebirge Aue at 56%; double chance reads Waldhof Mannheim or draw 59%, Erzgebirge Aue or draw 68%.
Waldhof Mannheim arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ 1. FC Nürnberg, L 0-2 @ Eintracht Frankfurt II, W 2-1 @ FC Thun, W 2-0 @ VfR Mannheim.
Erzgebirge Aue are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 v Kladno, W 7-1 v VfL Halle, W 3-0 @ ZFC Meuselwitz.
Waldhof Mannheim hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Waldhof Mannheim 2-1 Erzgebirge Aue.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
