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Super Cup · Semi-finals · Saudi-Arabia

Al-Nassr v Al-Ittihad FC

2-1Full time· Hong Kong Stadium, Hong Kong· Referee: Khalid Saleh Al Turais

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Al-Nassr v Al-Ittihad FC: the model read

Al-Nassr meet Al-Ittihad FC in the Super Cup semi-finals at Hong Kong Stadium, Hong Kong.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al-Ittihad FC, 73% against 60%. Attacking output favors Al-Nassr on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.

Al-Nassr arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Al Ain, D 1-1 @ Al Khaleej Saihat, W 2-1 v Abha, L 1-2 @ Al-Ittihad FC.

Al-Ittihad FC are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Al Shamal, W 3-1 @ Al-Faisaly FC, W 2-1 v Al-Fayha, W 2-1 v Al-Nassr.

The recent head-to-head is even, 5 apiece across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Ittihad FC 2-1 Al-Nassr.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Al-Nassr

WLWDL11-2-7

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • LAAl Ain0-4
  • DAAl Khaleej Saihat1-1
  • WHAbha2-1
  • LAAl-Ittihad FC1-2
  • WHAl Taawon2-1

Al-Ittihad FC

DWWWD12-5-3

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 75%

  • DAAl Shamal1-1
  • WAAl-Faisaly FC3-1
  • WHAl-Fayha2-1
  • WHAl-Nassr2-1
  • DAAl-Fateh0-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Al-NassrrecordAl-Ittihad FC
5
5
0 draws

Goals

20-15

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

Al-Nassr

Recent
LWLWWL
Wins 5Goals 20-15

Biggest win 5-2

Al-Ittihad FC

Recent
WLWLLW
Wins 5Goals 15-20

Biggest win 2-1

  • Al-Ittihad FC2-1Al-Nassr
  • Al-Nassr2-0Al-Ittihad FC
  • Al-Nassr1-2Al-Ittihad FC
  • Al-Ittihad FC0-2Al-Nassr
  • Al-Nassr2-1Al-Ittihad FC
  • Al-Nassr2-3Al-Ittihad FC
  • Al-Ittihad FC2-1Al-Nassr
  • Al-Nassr4-2Al-Ittihad FC
  • Al-Ittihad FC2-5Al-Nassr
  • Al-Ittihad FC1-0Al-Nassr

Managers

Ange Postecoglou

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Jens Wissing

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Gamba Osaka2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.