Inter Santa Maria v União RS: the model read
Inter Santa Maria meet União RS in the Gaúcho - 2 1st phase - 14 at Estádio Presidente Vargas, Santa Maria, Rio Grande do Sul. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 34% INT, 39% draw, 27% UNI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Inter Santa Maria on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 13%, over 2.5 goals around 7%. Draw no bet leans Inter Santa Maria at 56%; double chance reads Inter Santa Maria or draw 73%, União RS or draw 66%.
Inter Santa Maria arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Avenida, D 1-1 v Monsoon, L 0-1 v Guarany de Bagé, L 2-3 @ Guarany de Bagé.
União RS are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Gaúcho, L 0-1 @ Inter Santa Maria, D 0-0 @ Aimoré, D 1-1 v Real.
Inter Santa Maria hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Inter Santa Maria 1-0 União RS.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output