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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 · Germany

FSV Mainz 05 v Union Berlin

1-3Full time· Mewa Arena, Mainz· Referee: Florian Exner, Germany

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Match analysisPre-match brief

FSV Mainz 05 v Union Berlin: the model read

FSV Mainz 05 meet Union Berlin in the Bundesliga regular season - 33 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.

FSV Mainz 05 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1431. Recent form leans FSV Mainz 05, 73% against 40%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 3.3 to 2.1 per match.

FSV Mainz 05 arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 20 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Hamburger SV, D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07, W 9-0 @ Krieschow, W 2-1 v Bournemouth.

Union Berlin are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Bayer Leverkusen, D 3-3 v Eintracht Frankfurt, W 4-2 @ Eintracht Braunschweig, L 2-4 v Ipswich.

Union Berlin hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FSV Mainz 05 1-3 Union Berlin.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FSV Mainz 05

WWWDW13-3-4

Scored 3.25 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 40%

  • WAHamburger SV5-0
  • DHSC Paderborn 070-0
  • WAKrieschow9-0
  • WHBournemouth2-1
  • WHParis FC4-0

Union Berlin

WLWDL5-6-9

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 2.15 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 80%

  • LABayer Leverkusen0-4
  • DHEintracht Frankfurt3-3
  • WAEintracht Braunschweig4-2
  • LHIpswich2-4
  • WHAris3-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

FSV Mainz 05recordUnion Berlin
0
6
4 draws

Goals

10-20

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

90%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

FSV Mainz 05

Recent
LDLDDL
Wins 0Goals 10-20

Union Berlin

Recent
WDWDDW
Wins 6Goals 20-10

Biggest win 4-1

  • FSV Mainz 051-3Union Berlin
  • Union Berlin2-2FSV Mainz 05
  • Union Berlin2-1FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Union Berlin
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Union Berlin
  • Union Berlin4-1FSV Mainz 05
  • Union Berlin2-1FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 050-0Union Berlin
  • Union Berlin3-1FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-2Union Berlin

Managers

U. Fischer

Switzerland · 59

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Union Berlin2018–2023
  • Basel2015–2017
  • Thun2013–2015
  • Zürich2010–2012

Mauro Lustrinelli

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • FC Thun2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.