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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 · Germany

Hamburger SV v SC Freiburg

3-2Full time· Volksparkstadion, Hamburg· Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Hamburger SV v SC Freiburg: the model read

Hamburger SV meet SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga regular season - 33 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg.

SC Freiburg rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1454. Recent form leans SC Freiburg, 68% against 43%. Attacking output favors SC Freiburg on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans SC Freiburg at 66%; double chance reads Hamburger SV or draw 51%, SC Freiburg or draw 75%.

Hamburger SV arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Borussia Dortmund, W 3-0 @ Verl, W 2-1 @ Toulouse, D 2-2 v Lille.

SC Freiburg are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 19 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Werder Bremen, W 4-1 v Motherwell, W 5-1 @ Fortuna Düsseldorf, W 3-1 @ Motherwell.

SC Freiburg hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hamburger SV 3-2 SC Freiburg.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Hamburger SV

LDWWL6-5-9

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 80%

  • LABorussia Dortmund0-2
  • WAVerl3-0
  • WAToulouse2-1
  • DHLille2-2
  • LHEverton1-2

SC Freiburg

WWWWW13-1-6

Scored 2.35 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • WHWerder Bremen4-1
  • WHMotherwell4-1
  • WAFortuna Düsseldorf5-1
  • WAMotherwell3-1
  • WHCrystal Palace3-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Hamburger SVrecordSC Freiburg
2
5
3 draws

Goals

12-19

for each

Avg goals

3.1

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Hamburger SV

Recent
WLLLLW
Wins 2Goals 12-19

Biggest win 3-2

SC Freiburg

Recent
LWWWWL
Wins 5Goals 19-12

Biggest win 6-2

  • Hamburger SV3-2SC Freiburg
  • SC Freiburg2-1Hamburger SV
  • SC Freiburg2-1Hamburger SV
  • SC Freiburg6-2Hamburger SV
  • Hamburger SV1-3SC Freiburg
  • Hamburger SV1-0SC Freiburg
  • SC Freiburg0-0Hamburger SV
  • Hamburger SV2-2SC Freiburg
  • SC Freiburg1-0Hamburger SV
  • Hamburger SV1-1SC Freiburg

Managers

M. Polzin

Germany · 35

In charge since 2024

  • Hamburg2024–2024

J. Schuster

Germany · 40

In charge since 2024

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.