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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 · Germany

FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München

3-4Full time· Mewa Arena, Mainz· Referee: Martin Petersen, Germany

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Match analysisPre-match brief

FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München: the model read

FSV Mainz 05 meet Bayern München in the Bundesliga regular season - 31 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.

The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1742, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bayern München, 83% against 73%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 3.3 to 3.0 per match.

FSV Mainz 05 arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 20 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Hamburger SV, D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07, W 9-0 @ Krieschow, W 2-1 v Bournemouth.

Bayern München are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 15 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ FC Schalke 04, W 4-1 @ VfL Osnabrück, W 5-1 v VfB Stuttgart, W 2-1 @ Borussia Dortmund.

Bayern München hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayern München.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FSV Mainz 05

WWWDW13-3-4

Scored 3.25 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 40%

  • WAHamburger SV5-0
  • DHSC Paderborn 070-0
  • WAKrieschow9-0
  • WHBournemouth2-1
  • WHParis FC4-0

Bayern München

WWWWD15-3-2

Scored 2.95 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 75%

  • DAFC Schalke 040-0
  • WAVfL Osnabrück4-1
  • WHVfB Stuttgart5-1
  • WABorussia Dortmund2-1
  • WA1. FC Heidenheim4-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

FSV Mainz 05recordBayern München
2
7
1 draw

Goals

14-36

for each

Avg goals

5.0

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

FSV Mainz 05

Recent
LDLWLL
Wins 2Goals 14-36

Biggest win 3-1

Bayern München

Recent
WDWLWW
Wins 7Goals 36-14

Biggest win 8-1

  • FSV Mainz 053-4Bayern München
  • Bayern München2-2FSV Mainz 05
  • Bayern München3-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 052-1Bayern München
  • FSV Mainz 050-4Bayern München
  • Bayern Munich8-1FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-3Bayern Munich
  • FSV Mainz 053-1Bayern Munich
  • FSV Mainz 050-4Bayern Munich
  • Bayern Munich6-2FSV Mainz 05

Managers

U. Fischer

Switzerland · 59

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Union Berlin2018–2023
  • Basel2015–2017
  • Thun2013–2015
  • Zürich2010–2012

V. Kompany

Belgium · 39

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Burnley2022–2024
  • Anderlecht2020–2022

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.